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A sustainable solution for electricity crisis in Pakistan: opportunities, barriers, and policy implications for 100% renewable energy
- Research Article
- Published: 12 August 2019
- Volume 26 , pages 29687–29703, ( 2019 )
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- Syed Ahsan Ali Shah 1 &
- Yasir Ahmed Solangi 1
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This study aims to explore the potential of renewable energy resources to attain a 100% renewable electricity system in Pakistan. Currently, most of the electricity supply comes from fossil fuel, which is imported because Pakistan lacks its own resources. The imports of fossil fuel cost a huge amount and therefore afflict the already fragile economy. Further, the policy to rely on fossil fuel has significantly failed to address the energy crisis that has been lingering for the past two decades, and an acute shortage of electricity hinders the progress of various sectors of the economy. In addition, the global climate index has listed Pakistan among the top 10 climate-vulnerable countries, which makes it pertinent for the country to take precautionary measures for climate change mitigation. Pakistan has abundant renewable energy resources, which are more than sufficient to meet 100% of the present and future electricity demands. On the basis of the existing literature and the dilemma of the energy crisis and climate vulnerability, this study argues that transition to a 100% renewable electricity system is not only an option but also an urgent requirement. Further, we list the potential barriers, in the context of Pakistan, and put forward the policy implications for a swift transition to an entirely renewable electricity system.
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• Pakistan’s energy supply overly depends on imported fuels.
• Energy imports threaten future energy security.
• Continued fossil fuel consumption deteriorates the climate.
• Indigenous renewable energy sources can deliver 100% electricity demand.
• Political will is important for renewable energy transition.
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Shah, S.A.A., Solangi, Y.A. A sustainable solution for electricity crisis in Pakistan: opportunities, barriers, and policy implications for 100% renewable energy. Environ Sci Pollut Res 26 , 29687–29703 (2019). https://doi.org/10.1007/s11356-019-06102-0
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Received : 11 February 2019
Accepted : 29 July 2019
Published : 12 August 2019
Issue Date : October 2019
DOI : https://doi.org/10.1007/s11356-019-06102-0
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Energy Crisis in Pakistan: Socio-Economic Implications and the Way Forward
ANNALS OF SOCIAL SCIENCES AND PERSPECTIVE
Pakistan has been trapped by a blend of problems such as political chaos, economic turmoil, social unrest, religious extremism, rampant corruption, unemployment, pervasive poverty, child labor, moral degeneration, etc. The energy crisis has added fuel to the fire; it has created many more socio-economic issues for the whole nation. This research study has highlighted the impact of the energy crisis in Pakistan particularly on its society and economy. It has enunciated that the energy crisis has deteriorated the social setup in Pakistan as it has disturbed the domestic routines, institutional schedules, health facilities, transportation system and educational procedures. Similarly, the crisis has pushed Pakistan into an economic decline. Most of the local and foreign investors have migrated to other states due to the non-availability of electricity, gas and petroleum products. Resultantly, Pakistan is experiencing the lowest ebb of Foreign Direct Investment (FDI). Unannounced load-sh...
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Energy Crisis in Pakistan: Socio-Economic Implications and the Way Forward
- Farooq Arshad Assistant Professor of International Relations, Bahauddin Zakariya University, Multan.
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Pakistan has been trapped by a blend of problems such as political chaos, economic turmoil, social unrest, religious extremism, rampant corruption, unemployment, pervasive poverty, child labor, moral degeneration, etc. The energy crisis has added fuel to the fire; it has created many more socio-economic issues for the whole nation. This research study has highlighted the impact of the energy crisis in Pakistan particularly on its society and economy. It has enunciated that the energy crisis has deteriorated the social setup in Pakistan as it has disturbed the domestic routines, institutional schedules, health facilities, transportation system and educational procedures. Similarly, the crisis has pushed Pakistan into an economic decline. Most of the local and foreign investors have migrated to other states due to the non-availability of electricity, gas and petroleum products. Resultantly, Pakistan is experiencing the lowest ebb of Foreign Direct Investment (FDI). Unannounced load-shedding has not only discouraged the industrialists but also has decreased the ratio of production- a severe setback to the rate of exports. Non-availability of energy has decreased the ratio of agricultural productivity that has a significant share in the gross domestic product (GDP) of Pakistan. The cottage industry has also fallen victim to the energy crisis. In this way, there is a restrained flight of foreign capital to the country. In the end, the study has recommended some policies which can be formulated and practiced by the ends of both the government and the public to discard the energy crisis.
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Energy Crisis in Pakistan
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- Environmental Science, Engineering, Economics
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Energy crisis in pakistan and economic progress: decoupling the impact of coal energy consumption in power and brick kilns.
1. Introduction
2. literature review, 3. data and methods, specification of econometric model, 4. empirical results and discussion, 4.1. exploratory data analyses and correlation, 4.2. stationarity testing, 4.3. cointegration testing for the variables, 4.4. results of quantile regression estimation, 4.5. estimation of quantile process, 4.6. estimates of symmetric quantiles and slope equality test, 4.7. estimates of cointegration regression technique, 5. conclusions and policy recommendations, author contributions, institutional review board statement, informed consent statement, data availability statement, conflicts of interest.
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Click here to enlarge figure
ECOP | CCPS | CCBK | TOCC | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Mean | 1.439 | 4.491 | 7.783 | 8.163 |
Median | 1.576 | 4.091 | 7.942 | 8.059 |
Maximum | 2.323 | 8.682 | 8.416 | 9.931 |
Minimum | −0.206 | 0.587 | 6.881 | 6.970 |
Std. Dev. | 0.568 | 1.405 | 0.416 | 0.766 |
Skewness | −1.220 | 0.595 | −0.804 | 0.328 |
Kurtosis | 4.147 | 4.779 | 2.434 | 2.255 |
Jarque-Bera | 14.543 | 9.167 | 5.822 | 1.971 |
Probability | 0.000 | 0.010 | 0.054 | 0.373 |
ECOG | (1.000) | |||
CCPS | −0.384 | (1.000) | ||
CCBK | −0.203 | 0.547 | (1.000) | |
TOCC | −0.251 | 0.704 | 0.852 | (1.000) |
Variables | ADF (Prob. *) | P-P (Prob. *) | KPSS (Prob. *) | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Level | First Difference | Level | First Difference | Level | First Difference | |
−5.742 (0.000) | −10.608 (0.000) | −5.881 (0.000) | −16.385 (0.000) | 0.258 (0.000) | 0.396 (0.006) | |
−0.890 (0.782) | −9.224 (0.000) | −0.432 (0.894) | −9.132 (0.000) | 0.652 (0.000) | 0.228 (0.008) | |
−1.228 (0.654) | −7.953 (0.000) | −1.118 (0.700) | −7.943 (0.000) | 0.686 (0.000) | 0.100 (0.000) | |
1.000 (0.996) | −3.531 (0.011) | 0.685 (0.990) | −6.329 (0.000) | 0.861 (0.000) | 0.153 (0.005) |
None * | 0.625 | 60.155 | 47.856 | 0.002 |
At most 1 | 0.199 | 14.984 | 29.797 | 0.781 |
At most 2 | 0.091 | 4.770 | 15.494 | 0.832 |
At most 3 | 0.008 | 0.370 | 3.841 | 0.542 |
| ||||
None * | 0.625 | 45.170 | 27.584 | 0.000 |
At most 1 | 0.199 | 10.213 | 21.131 | 0.724 |
At most 2 | 0.091 | 4.400 | 14.264 | 0.814 |
At most 3 | 0.008 | 0.370 | 3.841 | 0.542 |
Variables | Coefficients | S-Error | t-Statistic | Prob. |
---|---|---|---|---|
CCPS | −0.489 | 0.106 | −4.601 | 0.000 |
CCBK | −0.540 | 0.305 | −1.773 | 0.083 |
TOCC | 0.955 | 0.214 | 4.453 | 0.000 |
C | 5.522 | 1.976 | 2.793 | 0.007 |
Pseudo R | 0.429 | M-dependent var | 3.439 | |
Adj- R | 0.401 | S.D. dependent var | 0.558 | |
SE of regression | 0.896 | Objective | 6.109 | |
Qua-dependent var | 1.543 | Restr. Objective | 6.632 | |
Sparsity | 1.140 | Quasi-LR statistic | 2.901 | |
Prob(Quasi-LR stat) | 0.000 |
Variables | Quantile | Coefficients | S-Error | t-Statistic | Prob. |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
CCPS (Coal Energy Consumption in Power Sector) | (0.1–0.9) | −0.821 | 0.411 | −1.995 | 0.052 |
−0.184 | 0.100 | −1.831 | 0.073 | ||
−0.596 | 0.202 | −2.949 | 0.005 | ||
−0.861 | 0.347 | −2.480 | 0.017 | ||
−0.417 | 0.197 | −2.116 | 0.040 | ||
−0.142 | 0.004 | −34.804 | 0.000 | ||
−0.392 | 0.106 | −3.689 | 0.000 | ||
−0.147 | 0.076 | −1.939 | 0.058 | ||
−0.128 | 0.009 | −14.010 | 0.000 | ||
CCBK (Coal Energy Consumption in Brick Kilns Sector) | (0.1–0.9) | −0.611 | 0.201 | −3.043 | 0.003 |
0.341 | 0.186 | 1.833 | 0.073 | ||
0.856 | 0.511 | 1.673 | 0.101 | ||
0.654 | 0.271 | 2.414 | 0.020 | ||
−0.163 | 0.005 | −31.425 | 0.000 | ||
−0.495 | 0.169 | −2.924 | 0.005 | ||
−0.885 | 0.336 | −2.630 | 0.011 | ||
−0.868 | 0.154 | −5.626 | 0.000 | ||
−0.723 | 0.212 | −3.408 | 0.001 | ||
TOCC (Total Coal Energy Consumption) | (0.1–0.9) | 0.592 | 0.247 | 2.394 | 0.021 |
−0.623 | 0.367 | −1.696 | 0.096 | ||
−0.798 | 0.343 | −2.323 | 0.024 | ||
−0.576 | 0.248 | −2.320 | 0.025 | ||
0.655 | 0.294 | 2.228 | 0.031 | ||
0.557 | 0.266 | 2.090 | 0.042 | ||
0.143 | 0.046 | 3.096 | 0.003 | ||
0.533 | 0.156 | 3.415 | 0.001 | ||
0.593 | 0.204 | 2.902 | 0.005 | ||
C (Constant) | (0.1–0.9) | 0.378 | 0.169 | 2.235 | 0.030 |
5.128 | 2.099 | 2.442 | 0.018 | ||
2.047 | 1.111 | 1.843 | 0.072 | ||
1.638 | 0.462 | 3.543 | 0.001 | ||
2.022 | 0.766 | 2.637 | 0.011 | ||
2.558 | 0.888 | 2.879 | 0.006 | ||
3.245 | 0.991 | 3.271 | 0.002 | ||
3.029 | 1.980 | 1.529 | 0.133 | ||
3.267 | 0.622 | 5.253 | 0.000 |
Symmetric Quantiles Test | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
Test Summary | Chi-Sq. Statistic | Chi-Sq. d.f. | Prob. | |
14.520 | 16 | 0.560 | ||
0.1, 0.9 | CCPS | −0.291 | 0.195 | 0.137 |
CCBK | −1.408 | 1.081 | 0.192 | |
TOCC | 0.749 | 0.701 | 0.285 | |
C | 5.7450 | 4.310 | 0.182 | |
0.2, 0.8 | CCPS | −0.157 | 0.164 | 0.336 |
CCBK | 0.222 | 0.700 | 0.750 | |
TOCC | −0.261 | 0.490 | 0.594 | |
C | 0.957 | 3.189 | 0.763 | |
0.3, 0.7 | CCPS | −0.131 | 0.127 | 0.302 |
CCBK | 0.109 | 0.572 | 0.847 | |
TOCC | −0.250 | 0.390 | 0.521 | |
C | 1.643 | 2.636 | 0.533 | |
0.4, 0.6 | CCPS | −0.071 | 0.088 | 0.418 |
CCBK | 0.321 | 0.405 | 0.427 | |
TOCC | −0.199 | 0.275 | 0.470 | |
C | −0.751 | 1.796 | 0.675 |
Test Summary | Chi-Sq. Statistic | Chi-Sq. d.f. | Prob. | |
---|---|---|---|---|
21.971 | 24 | 0.581 | ||
[0.1, 0.2] | CCPS | −0.106 | 0.084 | 0.208 |
CCBK | −1.372 | 0.762 | 0.071 | |
TOCC | 0.746 | 0.446 | 0.094 | |
[0.2, 0.3] | CCPS | 0.064 | 0.064 | 0.319 |
CCBK | 0.032 | 0.341 | 0.923 | |
TOCC | −0.092 | 0.232 | 0.689 | |
[0.3, 0.4] | CCPS | −0.077 | 0.067 | 0.252 |
CCBK | 0.042 | 0.339 | 0.901 | |
TOCC | −0.072 | 0.226 | 0.749 | |
[0.4, 0.5] | CCPS | −0.074 | 0.064 | 0.244 |
CCBK | 0.326 | 0.316 | 0.302 | |
TOCC | −0.221 | 0.211 | 0.293 | |
[0.5, 0.6] | CCPS | −0.002 | 0.058 | 0.962 |
CCBK | 0.004 | 0.256 | 0.985 | |
TOCC | −0.022 | 0.176 | 0.897 | |
[0.6, 0.7] | CCPS | −0.017 | 0.066 | 0.791 |
CCBK | 0.253 | 0.288 | 0.378 | |
TOCC | −0.021 | 0.197 | 0.915 | |
[0.7, 0.8] | CCPS | 0.090 | 0.088 | 0.310 |
CCBK | −0.080 | 0.323 | 0.804 | |
TOCC | −0.081 | 0.241 | 0.734 | |
[0.8, 0.9] | CCPS | 0.027 | 0.105 | 0.796 |
CCBK | 0.258 | 0.366 | 0.480 | |
TOCC | −0.264 | 0.296 | 0.371 |
CCPS | −0.607 | 0.211 | −2.876 | 0.006 |
CCBK | −0.969 | 0.257 | −3.770 | 0.000 |
TOCC | 0.807 | 0.285 | 2.828 | 0.007 |
C | 3.973 | 1.232 | 3.224 | 0.002 |
R | 0.296 | M-Dependent var | 1.743 | |
Adj-R | 0.able 8254 | S.D-dependent var | 0.566 | |
S.E. of regression | 0.498 | S-S resid | 10.157 | |
Long-run variance | 0.156 | |||
CCPS | −0.538 | 0.137 | −3.905 | 0.000 |
CCBK | −0.356 | 0.103 | −3.447 | 0.001 |
TOCC | 0.298 | 0.100 | 2.966 | 0.004 |
C | 1.222 | 0.246 | 4.953 | 0.000 |
R | 0.575 | M-Dependent var | 1.559 | |
Adj-R | 0.428 | S.D-dependent var | 0.582 | |
S.E. of regression | 0.383 | S-S resid | 3.806 | |
Long-run variance | 0.402 |
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Rehman, A.; Ma, H.; Radulescu, M.; Sinisi, C.I.; Yousaf, Z. Energy Crisis in Pakistan and Economic Progress: Decoupling the Impact of Coal Energy Consumption in Power and Brick Kilns. Mathematics 2021 , 9 , 2083. https://doi.org/10.3390/math9172083
Rehman A, Ma H, Radulescu M, Sinisi CI, Yousaf Z. Energy Crisis in Pakistan and Economic Progress: Decoupling the Impact of Coal Energy Consumption in Power and Brick Kilns. Mathematics . 2021; 9(17):2083. https://doi.org/10.3390/math9172083
Rehman, Abdul, Hengyun Ma, Magdalena Radulescu, Crenguta Ileana Sinisi, and Zahid Yousaf. 2021. "Energy Crisis in Pakistan and Economic Progress: Decoupling the Impact of Coal Energy Consumption in Power and Brick Kilns" Mathematics 9, no. 17: 2083. https://doi.org/10.3390/math9172083
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Pakistan has been facing energy crises for more than a decade as a result of its reliance on imported fossil fuels, circular debt, political instability, and absurd energy policies. However, the country has abundant renewable energy resources which, if harnessed, may help to effectively cope with ever-increasing energy demand. This review study investigates the country's economic and energy ...
The objective of the paper is to present an overview of energy policies of Pakistan from 1994 to 2013. The policy reforms are critical in addressing the energy crisis. These policies must be binding, implementable, and futuristic. The research paper is going to focus on the analysis of these policies that resulted in energy crisis.
Solutions for Energy Crisis in Pakistan 1 Introduction Ambassador (R) Sohail Amin Air Cdre (R) Khalid Iqbal and Aftab Hussain slamabad Policy Research Institute (IPRI) in collaboration with Hanns Seidel Foundation (HSF), Islamabad office, organised a National Conference on ―Solutions for Energy Crisis in Pakistan‖ on May 15-16, 2013.
on the topical and vital theme of Solutions for Energy Crisis in Pakistan held on May 15-16, 2013 at Islamabad Hotel, Islamabad. The Conference was jointly organised by the Islamabad Policy Research Institute (IPRI) and the Hanns Seidel Foundation, (HSF) Islamabad. ... presented a paper on ―Renewable Energy: Potential and Prospects,‖ which ...
Pakistan Journal of Scientific Research, ISSN: 0552-9050 vol. 1, No. 1 (1 - 5) 1. . Abstract — Energy plays an essential role in the development. and economic growth of a country. A balanced ...
The upcoming sections of this paper consist of a literature review related to energy ... It can observe that scientific literature abundantly contains research articles describing energy crisis, electricity shortages, electricity load shedding, natural gas load shedding, and energy insecurity of Pakistan especially from 2007 onwards which has ...
Energy is essential for the economic growth, prosperity, and well-beingofnations.Correspondingly, countries with higher energy consumption tend to have higher human development indexes and higher incomes, and it is not possible to substan-tially reduce poverty without a massive use of energy (Khandker et al. 2012). In Pakistan, energy demand is ...
growing energy production and system transmission capacity, Pakistan has effectively overcome the energy crisis lately. The energy crisis directly and indirectly affected all the areas of the economy. The power industry now faces a demand gap and needs to increase its supply at a reduced cost with an improvement in its energy structure. As far ...
This research study has highlighted the impact of the energy crisis in Pakistan particularly on its society and economy. It has enunciated that the energy crisis has deteriorated the social setup in Pakistan as it has disturbed the domestic routines, institutional schedules, health facilities, transportation system and educational procedures.
Pakistan has been trapped by a blend of problems such as political chaos, economic turmoil, social unrest, religious extremism, rampant corruption, unemployment, pervasive poverty, child labor, moral degeneration, etc. The energy crisis has added fuel to the fire; it has created many more socio-economic issues for the whole nation. This research study has highlighted the impact of the energy ...
Electrical sustainability is a foundation for urbanization and industrialization. Over the past three decades, Pakistan has been convulsed by electricity shortages that at times have reached over 10-15% of total demand; Therefore, we initiated an effort to explore and understand recurrent energy crises using ANN, Stochastic Time Series (STS), and regression forecasting techniques.
Impact of energy source and electricity crisis on the economic growth: policy implication for Pakistan, Journal of Energy Technologies and Policy. ISSN 2224-3232 (Paper) Vol.7, No.2, 2017
The study was conducted in the department of Electrical Engineering, University of Gujrat, Punjab, Pakistan to highlight the burning issue of energy crisis. Firstly, it overviewed the phenomenon on global level and estimated it as a global issue. Secondly, it studied the issue with reference to the present situation and position of Pakistan. It also high pointed the statistics of demand and ...
This study aims to examine the impact of coal energy consumption on the economic progress in Pakistan by using annual time series data during 1972-2019. Three-unit root tests were employed to rectify the variables' stationarity. The quantile regression approach with the extension of cointegration regression test was utilized to check the variables interaction with the economic progress.
sources presents a compelling solution to address Pakistan's energy crisis. 1 Pakistan's energy crisis is a long-standing and multifaceted issue that has significantly impeded the country's economic growth and development. Pakistan witnessed acute energy crisis during the summer months from May-August 2023.
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